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Field notes on AI, federal technology and building products.

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46 articles in AI · page 2 of 2

AI

Your Data Pipeline Breaks at the Seams

Most ML pipelines fail between stages, not inside them. Here are the three seams to instrument and the contract that keeps each one honest.

Apr 4, 20255 min read
AI

Structured and Unstructured Is the Wrong Split

The useful question is not which format your data is in. It is whether a schema is enforced, who owns the record, and what the unit of record is.

Apr 4, 20254 min read
AI

Agentic AI in Finance Breaks the Two-Person Control

Every real financial control assumes two people. An agent with a login and a payment permission is one actor with none of the accountability.

Apr 1, 20255 min read
AI

AI Is Not a Utility Until It Has an Owner

The electricity analogy breaks on three things: model behavior changes on upgrade, output is not fungible, and the meter says nothing about correctness.

Apr 1, 20255 min read
AI

AI Will Not Fix Your ERP Forecast

Forecast accuracy is bounded by the chart of accounts and the close calendar, not by the model. Add AI to a broken model and you get faster wrong numbers.

Apr 1, 20255 min read
AI

AI-First IT Has to Change the Unit of Work

Buying agents does not change IT. Changing what counts as a unit of work does, and that decision belongs to whoever owns change control.

Apr 1, 20254 min read
AI

TOPS Is Not a Workload Number

Edge AI runs out of memory and memory bandwidth before it runs out of compute. Most hardware requirements measure the thing that is not binding.

Apr 1, 20254 min read
AI

AI Projects Fail on Decision Rights

The model is rarely why a pilot dies. The reasons are who owns the number, who can say no, and what happens when the output is wrong.

Apr 1, 20254 min read
AI

Multimodal Models Do Not Weigh Evidence

A multimodal system can read the scan, the note, and the lab value. Ask what it does when they disagree, and the demo ends.

Apr 1, 20255 min read
AI

The Case for Small Models Is Where the Data Lives

Small language models are not winning on benchmark scores. They win when the data cannot leave the building and the task is narrow enough to be checkable.

Apr 1, 20255 min read
AI

Your Data Pipeline Fails at the Seam, Not the Stage

Most model incidents are pipeline incidents. The stages are fine. What breaks is the contract between training and serving, and the untested backfill.

Mar 30, 20255 min read
AI

Pick the Model After You Know the Cost of Being Wrong

Algorithm choice is the last decision in a model project. The label supply, the cost of a false positive and the retraining path decide most of it first.

Mar 30, 20255 min read
AI

Pick ML by Label Budget, Not by Algorithm

Supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement: the choice is mostly about the evidence you have and what you can afford to label.

Mar 30, 20254 min read
AI

If You Cannot Name the Decision, You Have a Topic

Most AI use case frameworks start with a problem and a KPI. Start one step earlier, with the decision, the person who makes it, and the record it leaves.

Mar 30, 20255 min read
AI

The AI Solutions Manager Owns the Boundary

The role is not model selection. It is owning the line between the model and the workflow, and the evidence that the line holds.

Mar 29, 20254 min read
AI

The Data Janitor Is the Domain Expert

Cleaning data is not janitorial work. Every fix encodes a judgment about what a row means, and that judgment belongs to the people who own the process.

Mar 29, 20255 min read
AI

A Million Tokens Did Not Kill Retrieval

Long context moved the boundary between retrieving and reading. It did not fix the middle of the window, and it did not create an audit trail.

Mar 26, 20254 min read
AI

The Benchmark Number Is a Claim About the Harness

Claude 3.7's TAU-bench score came with a footnote about scaffolding. That footnote is the most useful thing in the announcement.

Feb 19, 20255 min read
AI

Colossus Was a Construction Project, Not a Model Story

xAI put 100,000 GPUs online in 122 days by reusing a closed factory and buying temporary power. The constraint was never the chip.

Feb 12, 20254 min read
AI

Gemini 2.0's Real Bet Is Model Tiering

Google shipped a flagship and a cheap tier in the same release. The useful question is which task deserves which model, not which model wins.

Feb 5, 20254 min read
AI

Reasoning Models Change the Unit of Cost

A reasoning model bills you for thinking and hands back a summary. That changes how you budget, evaluate, and audit an AI workflow.

Jan 29, 20255 min read
AI

DeepSeek's Real Number Was Never $6 Million

The training run was cheap and the weights are open. What changed is the price of a credible second option, not the price of intelligence.

Jan 15, 20254 min read

End of the archive. 46 essays.